Every so often my undergraduate workstudy helps me compile all of the available data maintained by the states that keep records on homeschool enrollment. This is not an easy task. Some states make this information available and accessible on state department of education websites, but many do not. After several weeks of internet searches and phone calls I think we have collected all the data extant. If anyone reading this knows of a state we have missed and where its data can be found, please contact me and I will add it.
Before commenting on trends let me make the usual caveats regarding this data. As I have noted many times before when presenting this information, the numbers here are unreliable for at least three reasons: 1. data collection is haphazard, varying widely by state, by district within a state, and from year-to-year based upon state budgets, which do not prioritize homeschooling data collection, 2. the figures provided by some states don’t account for homeschoolers who may choose to do so by, say, registering as private schools, and 3. some homeschoolers simply refuse to register with the state and hence are not included in these tallies.
These shortcomings mean that the enrollment figures cited here are in no way an accurate count of homeschoolers in a given state. But they can at least tell us something about trend lines if we look at how the figures are changing year by year. Last time I compiled this data there was no clear trend–by mid-2013 six states were up, six were down, and the rest were flat. This time around, however the trend is clear and dramatic. Of the seventeen states for which my workstudy and I could find data, fifteen are up (many way up) and only two are down, and those not by much. The clear message here is that in the last couple of years, across the country but especially in the South, homeschooling has been growing at quite a clip. Why? One popular theory frequently noted in the press is the antipathy, especially among conservatives, toward the Common Core curriculum and testing regimen currently being rolled out in many state public school systems. There’s really no way to test that hypothesis, but the trend lines here are impossible to ignore whatever their cause. The full data with citations can be found on the ICHER main page under our “Research” tab, or you can get to it by clicking here. Here are the two most recent data points available for each state to give a sense of the growth:
Arkansas
2012: 16,405
2014: 17,299
Trend: Up, Modestly
Colorado
2011: 6,067
2013: 7,489
Trend: Up, Significantly
Delaware
2011: 2,700
2013: 3,145
Trend: Up, Modestly
Florida
2011: 72,408
2013: 77,054
Trend: Up, Significantly
Maine
2011: 4,730
2013: 5,025
Trend: Up, Modestly
Georgia
2010: 42,474
2014: 52, 709
Trend: Up, Significantly
Montana
2011: 4,260
2013: 4,694
Trend: Up, Modestly
Nebraska
2012: 7,200
2013: 7,674
Trend: Up, Modestly
New Hampshire
2011: 5,285
2013: 5,914
Trend: Up, Significantly
North Carolina
2011: 79,693
2013: 98, 172
Trend: Up, Significantly
Oregon
2011: 19,900
2012: 20,188
Trend: Up, Modestly
South Dakota
2012: 4,023
2013: 3,443
Trend: Down, Modestly
Utah
2012: 8,260
2013: 8,988
Trend: Up, Significantly
Vermont
2013: 2,424
2014: 2,384
Trend: Down, Modestly
Virginia
2011: 25,255
2013: 29,477
Trend: Up, Significantly
Washington
2012: 16,582
2013: 18,218
Trend: Up, Significantly
Wisconsin
2012: 18,464
2013: 19,104
Trend: Up, Modestly
Wyoming
2012: 2,309
2013: 2,452
Trend: Up, Modestly
Milton Gaither, Messiah College, author of Homeschool: An American History.
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I’m not sure the growth numbers correlate closely with opposition to common state standards (which vary pretty significantly by state) .
While there is lots of opposition to the New Hampshire state standards (as there is opposition in NH to pretty much any change in the status quo), Virginia never adopted new standards and the homeschooling growth seems similar in both states.
There is good Marist Poll data on popular opinion on the standards in NH, Iowa, and South Carolina. If only we had good homeschooling numbers for IA and SC we could really test this hypothesis.
An alternate hypothesis is that the significant increase in moms not in the traditional workforce is lowering the economic hurdle for home education. I’m still trying to find data which could be used to test this hypothesis.